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* North West Shelf March cargo seen around $5 FOB
* US gas futures still above UK prices
By Edward McAllister
NEW YORK, Feb 26 (Reuters) - Spot prices of liquefied
natural gas for March delivery were seen slipping this week as
spring approached for northern hemisphere importers, analysts
and traders said Friday.
Prices typically fall around this time of year, when demand
in the large LNG importers Japan and Korea, as well as in
Europe, eases toward the end of winter.
A tender for at least three cargoes from the North West
Shelf venture in Australia, for delivery in March through May,
has attracted the likes of BP, BG and Mitsui, with potential
deals seen at a discount to deals sealed in January and
February, sources said.
A March cargo was sold for $5-$5.50 per million British
thermal units FOB, sources said, possibly priced off British
NBP futures. Depending where the cargo is delivered, the landed
price could be around $6.50 per mmBtu, off slightly from recent
deals seen from the Middle East.
In recent weeks, one cargo from Abu Dhabi's ADGAS for
February delivery went for about $6.50 FOB. Highs for the
winter hit around $8 mmBtu DES in January.
A recession-driven fall in global gas demand saw spot LNG
prices tumble last year to around $4 per mmBtu from record
highs of around $22 in 2008. However, spot demand and prices
picked up in the second half of 2009, bolstered in part by
increased imports into Britain, Belgium, China and India.
Chinese imports of LNG hit near record highs in January,
almost quadrupling last January's imports. [ID:nSGE61O037]
Despite a recent price uptick in demand, the market is
expected to remain amply supplied in 2010 as new production in
Russia, Yemen, Indonesia and Qatar comes online and gas demand
remains relatively weak.
Qatari LNG producer Rasgas this week said that it had begun
production at its massive 7.8 million tonne per year Train 7.
[ID:nLDE61N13V]
More LNG is expected to be available in the Atlantic Basin
for the United States and Europe to absorb, as less cargoes are
sucked into the Pacific where demand and prices have
traditionally been strongest.
As winter ends, more and more LNG is expected to head to
the United States where gas prices are currently above those in
Britain, offering a more attractive netback for shippers.
"With each passing month and as warmer weather nears, the
chances of monthly import levels increasing incrementally
over the previous month rises dramatically," said Waterborne
LNG analysts in a note late Thursday.
On Friday, U.S. gas prices for April delivery were around
$4.77 per mmBtu, about a 10-cent premium to U.K. prices. For
May, the spread was around 16 cents.
Higher gas prices in the U.S. versus Britain has helped
attract increased volumes so far this year. Estimated
first-quarter imports are expected to be about 23 percent above
year-ago levels and 30 percent above the same period in 2008,
according to Waterborne figures.
The U.S. northeast has seen the most action, with both the
Everett terminal and Excelerate Energy's Northeast Gateway in
Boston taking regular cargoes, as well as the Canaport terminal
in New Brunswick, Canada, sending gas south in the Northeast
United States.
(Reporting by Edward McAllister; Editing by Rebekah Kebede)
((Edward.mcallister@thomsonreuters.com; +1 646 223 6221;
Reuters Messaging:edward.mcallister.reuters.com@reuters.net))
Keywords: MARKETS/LNG
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